Adjust Text Size

2012 Stock Market Predictions

Written by Nickel - One Comment

In case you haven’t heard, the S&P 500 closed the year at 1257.60 this past Friday. That’s just a hair down from the 2010 closing price of 1257.64 — essentially even in the grand scheme of things.

Despite the flat performance overall, the past year was anything but uneventful. Don’t believe me? Check out the graph below.

S&P 500 2011 Performance

After some nice gains during the first half of the year, Congress managed to cook up a crisis which resulted in a US credit downgrade and dramatic losses stock market losses. From that point forward, the market gradually regained its footing, though it was far from a smooth recovery.

Of course, the above numbers ignore dividend reinvestment. After account for dividends, the market (as measured by the S&P 500) returned something close to 2% for the year. Not great, especially given the volatility, but better than nothing.

Through it all, I managed to do a good bit of tax loss harvesting on the equity side, and we also benefited nicely from our bond holdings (Total Bond Market [VBMFX] and TIPS [VIPSX]), which account for roughly 40% of our total portfolio.

With that as a backdrop, I though it would be fun to run a poll asking for 2012 stock market predictions…

How much will the S&P 500 change from the beginning to the end of 2012?
View Results

If you’d like to make a guess as to the specific closing price at the end of 2012, please do so in the comments section (but please also select a poll choice). You won’t win anything but bragging rights if you get ir right, but hey…

Bragging is kinda fun. ;-)

Note: E-mail and RSS subscribers may need to click through for the poll to work.

Published on January 2nd, 2012 - One Comment
Filed under: Saving & Investing

About the author: is the founder and editor-in-chief of this site. He's a thirty-something family man who has been writing about personal finance since 2005, and guess what? He's on Twitter!

Related articles...

» 2013 Stock Market Predictions
» Borrow Money to Invest?
» The stock market drop and you
» What is ‘Shorting’ a Stock?
» Rebalancing our Retirement Portfolio
» The Stock Market Then and Now: What a Difference Two Years Makes
» The (Currently) Most Overvalued Assets
» Anybody up for a 100-thou Dow?

Was this article useful? Please sign up to receive our content via e-mail:

You will receive only the daily updates, and can unsubscribe at anytime.

One Response to “2012 Stock Market Predictions”

  1. 1
    The Frugallery Says:

    Oh how hindsight is 20/20. Let’s hope that 2012 is more prosperous!

Leave a Reply

Disclaimer...
Because rates and offers from advertisers shown on this website change frequently, please visit referenced sites for current information. This website may be compensated by companies mentioned through advertising, affiliate programs or otherwise.

FiveCentNickel User Survey